Psychological momentum, turning points and the case of Murray vs Gasquet

Watching the incredible round match between Andy Murray and Richard Gasquet at Wimbledon this week I was reminded of a concept in sport psychology that I hadn't really come across for some time: Psychological Momentum (note: since writing this Mustafa Sarkar has also posted on psychological momentum in team sports).

Psychological momentum is an intuitively appealing concept that is frequently observed by commentators and fans (but despite this hasn't really been underpinned by a great deal of academic research and isn't all that well understood). Just as physical momentum refers to a force that acts upon an object and creates motion, psychological momentum refers to a psychological force, or power, that appears to act in favour of one competitor or team at the expense of another. This bi-directional force is, quite obviously, a perceived force which may have cognitive, physiological, emotional , motivational and behavioural components.

This Monday evening I could have been convinced, however, that there was indeed a tangible force acting first on behalf of Richard Gasquet as he moved towards his seemingly inevitable victory, and then more noticeably for Andy Murray, from the point that he broke Gasquet's serve - in what could have been the last game of the match but was instead a turning point and the start of an incredible comeback.

What was amazing was that as I sat at home, I started to feel the inevitability of Murray's win when he was still behind in the match. The crowd clearly sensed something special, as could Murray, as he responed to each point and the noise of the crowd like a gladiator, roaring and pumping his fists. This was not a calulated display. This was a man living right in the moment. Unlike Gasquet who, as the match slipped further from his grasp, started to pick fights with the crowd and the officials.

In a review of the psychological momentum literature, Crust and Nesti (2006) describe 3 models: The Antecedents-Consequences Model of Psychological Momentum (Vallerand et al., 1988); The Multidimensional Model of Momentum (Taylor & and Demick, 1994); and Projected Performance Model (Cornelius, Silva, Conroy, & Petersen, 1997)

Without going into a review of my own, all would appear to have their merits, but if I were Richard Gasquet or his coach (or indeed Andy Murray, for often we forget to learn in the euphoria that follows a great win), I would be looking to unpick the events of Tuesday night, and really understand what happened, what was the real psychological turning point in the match, and why? I don't know if I could really do that with confidence using any of these models.

Reversal Theory, however, puts the emphasis on the meaning of the events to the players involved. A player's motivational states can be followed, rather like a series of switches on a dashboard, or movements in a dance, that change their emotional experience. These swings or 'Reversals' are perfectly placed to understand the whole picture - with the player at the centre.

A 'Reversal' can occur for three reasons.

1. A change in situation (or perceived situation). A bad call, a missed point, a lucky break, the crowd, the referee - all can change the situation.
2. Frustration - if a player is not getting satisfaction from their current state. A common example of this will be frustration turning into anger.
3. Satiation - this is an interesting one from a sporting point of view, because sometimes we just change states because we need to from time to time. Some people seem to be more 'stable' than others. This would suggest that it pays to be aware of the states that you are more likely to perform in, and to find ways of ensuring that you stay there.

So any of these 'events' can trigger a reversal. Over the course of a few games in tennis, for example, a player could go through a number of Reversals, that if unpicked carefully enough, and slowly enough, can very precisely map out the route that a player took from inevitable victory to impending defeat, or vice versa. Once you have this picture, of course, you have the means to intervene.

References:
Crust, L., and Nesti, M. (2006). A Review of Psychological Momentum in Sports:
Why qualitative research is needed. Athletic Insight, 8(1)
Taylor, J. & Demick, A. (1994). A multidimensional model of momentum in sports. Journal of Applied Sport Psychology, 6, 51-70.
Vallerand, R. J., Colavecchio, P. G., & Pelletier, L. G. (1988). Psychological momentum and performance inferences: a preliminary test of the antecedents-consequences psychological momentum model. Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology, 10, 92-108.



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Rob Robson
Co-founder, iStadia.com